Regression to our mean. 3-4 last week. The Thursday night game sent us spiraling off 0-2. Record for the season now stands at 18-24-1. Will the real Tampa Bay team stand up? And how about that Minnesota defense? Two games made it easy on us, Pats just showed up and were ruthless, and the Dolphins sure look like they will make the playoffs. Yikes! Of course that depends on if Tannehill will miss time. I went with a extra pick here as well, there are some weird lines and seems to be a few trap games on the slate. On to the games.

Home team in all caps.

will take the double dip again here on thursday – hopefully we do better this time

kc +7.5 at SD – kansas city has not lead at any point during a game in regulation time this season, and yet i am taking them and the points. maybe just take me out and slap me around.

kc SD under 42.5 – two absolutely inept teams here, however since this is the thursday nfl game it would not surprise me  one bit to see both teams eclipse 42 points.

CIN +3.5 vs den – denver was solid against the ‘aints on sunday night, but i think that a middling SEC team could give the ‘aints defense fits at this point.

mia -2.5 vs IND – miami plays much better on the road and they have a solid run defense. not sure of tannehills status – but moore is a very capable player. i think the miami run defense forces the Colts into a one dimensional team. i think Luck is the real deal, but he’s not there yet. if this were 3 or more i lean Colts, but at less than a fg this is a bargain.

car WAS over 47 – i see this being a shootout. hopefully the carolina offense shows up.

TEN +3.5 vs chi – there seems to be something really wrong with this line. chicago is rapidly becoming a team that pundits think can make a deep run in the playoffs and yet they are just a fg and the hook better than a terrible titans team? granted i know better than to bet on Jay Cutler on the road. wait – trap game – chicago faces the texans next week.

tbb +2 vs OAK – in my mind here the wrong team is favored. i may be putting too much into last weeks thrashing of the vikings, but tampa getting points here is just a bonus.

dal +4 vs ATL – this game is a classic pete rozelle game. i know romo is awful once the calendar turns to november. i know that the jerry jones/jason garrett combo is bad news, but i think that dallas wins this game outright.

again look at my record and make sure to fade my picks.